Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 344.601924 393.165048 447.956977 514.718928 594.357066 686.919874 803.534643
2024-12-22 268.355239 329.133391 404.319229 505.548057 640.425570 817.096666 1071.395856
2024-12-29 230.320211 295.879849 381.990982 505.986603 684.440781 939.335460 1345.236766
2025-01-05 200.149454 266.205982 357.004182 494.746896 705.536224 1028.768042 1589.643291
2025-01-12 179.968459 246.537049 341.679476 492.748379 736.967953 1136.636112 1888.838764
2025-01-19 158.165930 221.541857 314.843678 468.292526 727.274849 1173.802392 2072.448118
2025-01-26 151.395466 217.607251 318.521300 491.568344 799.227675 1364.971411 2604.726227
2025-02-02 146.998958 216.565780 326.190787 522.014598 888.705060 1608.818713 3335.141830
2025-02-09 137.565944 206.512559 317.976216 523.511313 924.503124 1754.943153 3900.475094
2025-02-16 126.821949 193.278147 302.958647 510.519803 929.447704 1836.739299 4337.537853
2025-02-23 117.885041 182.214673 290.469922 500.444691 938.306995 1928.989581 4842.371493
2025-03-02 113.439704 178.278008 289.923058 512.932434 996.689047 2151.683683 5838.043658
2025-03-09 107.345809 171.212377 283.467217 513.736659 1031.643740 2331.898433 6822.166530
2025-03-16 100.237877 161.835196 271.959939 502.937513 1038.585405 2442.804152 7642.162135
2025-03-23 95.308906 155.915559 266.288405 503.487158 1072.525369 2638.683170 8924.823081
2025-03-30 89.450338 147.858527 255.794908 492.308794 1075.448689 2745.816179 9922.194322
2025-04-06 85.173850 142.388718 249.822388 490.323070 1101.619013 2933.411681 11449.559545
2025-04-13 78.854080 132.690354 234.724253 466.016259 1064.575463 2907.281175 11898.620120
2025-04-20 77.959043 133.143479 239.964422 489.150238 1161.413675 3366.636658 15464.603001
2025-04-27 77.699954 134.775060 247.737252 519.408452 1286.030490 3983.740341 20935.976527
2025-05-04 74.795450 131.031678 243.935279 520.895852 1325.908633 4295.634512 24820.696801
2025-05-11 70.869002 125.018047 234.826251 507.984975 1318.854504 4413.998000 27377.489620
2025-05-18 67.463945 119.850446 227.170183 497.972050 1319.446142 4568.403856 30570.330032